What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 71%, implying a 71% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Abdul El-Sayed

Closes Aug 04, 2026 (47d) 24h volume $318 Open interest $50.3K Event Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

71%

implied YES probability

+3.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 90 days · High 69% · Low 20% · 7d -0.7pp · 30d +23.8pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Other outcomes in this event

Trade on Polymarket

Open on Polymarket

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.