polymarket
Politics
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Abdul El-Sayed
98%
implied YES probability
+0.8pp 24h
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 98% ·
Low 50%
· 7d +51.5pp
· 30d +13.0pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.
If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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AI analysis
The prediction market is currently pricing Abdul El-Sayed's chances of winning the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary at 84%, with a YES price of 0.84. This assessment is informed by known facts about El-Sayed's political background and potential appeal to voters in the state. The current price does not take into account any unknown factors that may emerge between now and the primary election, which is scheduled to close on August 4th, 2026. Any significant changes to these circumstances could impact the price, with a decrease in El-Sayed's chances potentially driving the YES price down and an increase in his appeal pushing it up.
Generated Jul 30, 2026
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