polymarket
Politics
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
355+
8%
implied YES probability
+2.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 20% ·
Low 6%
· 7d -34.8pp
· 30d -51.6pp
How this market resolves
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
-
United's next decision: What to do with all those Boeing 737 Max 10 seats it ordered years ago
CNBC Top News · 23h ago
Trade on Polymarket
Open on Polymarket
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate
public order-book and trading data for analysis.
Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.