polymarket Politics

Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

325–339
Closes Sep 20, 2026 (94d) 24h volume $273 Open interest $10.8K Event How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
30%
implied YES probability
+5.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 86 days · High 32% · Low 10% · 7d +2.0pp · 30d +28.2pp
32%10%

How this market resolves

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Other outcomes in this event

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