What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Closes Nov 03, 2026 (138d) 24h volume — Open interest $25.5K Event Alaska Governor Election Winner

16%

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 77 days · High 20% · Low 2% · 7d +0.3pp · 30d +39.8pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.