What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 93%, implying a 93% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

P PolymarketCrypto

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 7?

84,000

Settles Oct 07, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: Bitcoin above ___ on October 7? Live crypto prices

chance of YES93% +7.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

45–84%

24h volume

$30.8K

USDC traded

Open interest

$373.8K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

Open on Polymarket

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

74,000100%$29.8K

76,000100%$44.5K

78,000100%$17.7K

80,000100%$18.2K

82,00099%$45.6K

86,00038%$11.5K

88,0006%$48.1K

90,0001%$43.2K

How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.