polymarket Technology

Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?

Google
Closes Oct 01, 2026 (14d) 24h volume $192 Open interest $8.3K Event Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?
1%
implied YES probability
-1.8pp 24h

Price history

Last 59 days · High 34% · Low 1% · 7d -65.1pp · 30d -53.2pp
34%1%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Other outcomes in this event

OpenAI
97% YES
24h vol $2.4K
Microsoft AI
1% YES
24h vol $221
Meta
1% YES
24h vol $316
Tencent
0% YES
24h vol $216
ByteDance
0% YES
24h vol $216
Ideogram
0% YES
24h vol $216
Recraft
0% YES
24h vol $216
Reve
0% YES
24h vol $216

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.