ADT Inc.(ADT)
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $6.25 – $8.94
- YTD
- -17.85%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 2.94
- Straddle Price
- $0.62
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 1.17
- Market Cap
- $4.9B
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 0.5% and dividend payments are stable.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 4.47% |
| Beta vs SPY | 1.00 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 9.97% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 6.81% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +169.4pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps |
| Effective Tax Rate | 27.7% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | -0.7% |
| DCF Horizon | 12 years explicit + fade |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $1.9B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | 16.4% |
| Book / Price | 68.2% — banking bias active (P/B is primary) |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 80.8% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | 36.5% |
| Debt / Equity | 1.94 |
| Quality Score | 4/6 — high quality (12y DCF) |
| SMA 50 | $6.94 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $6.78 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 105.9% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $7.2B |
| Market Cap | $6B |
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | $33.16 | 23% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | $2.06 | 18% | |
| Peer P/E | $31.58 | 10% | median 45.1× · 7 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | $68.30 | 10% | median 24.6× · 7 peers |
| Peer P/B | $29.02 | 2% | median 6.6× · 8 peers |
| Peer P/S | $21.63 | 7% | median 3.6× · 8 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $6.94 | 29% | stability 63% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | n/a | 0% |
- Industry (SIC)
- SERVICES-DETECTIVE, GUARD & ARMORED CAR SERVICES (7381)
- Exchange
- XNYS
- Market Cap
- $4.9B
ADT Inc is a provider of security, interactive, and smart home solutions serving consumer and small business customers in the United States (U.S.). The Company conducts business under the ADT brand name.
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | +0.78% | 9 |
| Feb | -2.84% | 9 |
| Mar | -9.65% | 9 |
| Apr | +6.70% | 9 |
| May | +0.84% | 9 |
| Jun | +2.04% | 9 |
| Jul | +4.77% | 8 |
| Aug | -8.73% | 8 |
| Sep | +0.18% | 8 |
| Oct | -1.38% | 8 |
| Nov | +6.46% | 8 |
| Dec | -5.04% | 8 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
Choose Frenzy-Fast™ for quick analysis or Frenzy-Pro™ for comprehensive analysis.
Analysis includes technical indicators, news sentiment, risk assessment, and specific price levels to watch.
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-01 | Pre-Market | 9.22% | 6.59% | 0.71x | Within |
| 2024-10-24 | Pre-Market | 12.63% | 18.32% | 1.45x | Exceeded |
| 2025-02-27 | Pre-Market | 10.76% | 12.78% | 1.19x | Exceeded |
| 2025-04-24 | Pre-Market | 8.85% | 2.02% | 0.23x | Within |
| 2025-07-24 | Pre-Market | 8.60% | 2.85% | 0.33x | Within |
| 2025-11-04 | Pre-Market | 8.81% | 8.18% | 0.93x | Within |
| 2026-03-02 | Pre-Market | 8.72% | 11.92% | 1.37x | Exceeded |
| 2026-04-30 | Pre-Market | 8.37% | 5.02% | 0.60x | Within |
- IV Rank (30D)
- 2.94
- IV Rank (7D)
- 100
- Avg IV
- 76.6%
- Straddle (30D)
- $0.62
- Straddle (7D)
- $7.95
- P/C Volume
- 1.17
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 0.91
- Correlation (SPY)
- 42.2%
- R²
- 0.18
- Ann. Volatility
- 26.7%
- SPY Volatility
- 12.4%
Moderate volatility - stock generally follows market
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greenhouse Funds LLLP | $14.48M | 72.92% | 2026-03-31 |
| 2 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $3.92M | 19.77% | 2026-03-31 |
| 3 | Walleye Capital LLC | $362.66K | 1.83% | 2026-03-31 |
| 4 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $283.17K | 1.43% | 2026-03-31 |
| 5 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $281.85K | 1.42% | 2026-03-31 |
| 6 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $266.74K | 1.34% | 2026-03-31 |
| 7 | Walleye Trading LLC | $109.06K | 0.55% | 2026-03-31 |
| 8 | Atlas Legacy Advisors, LLC | $80.70K | 0.41% | 2025-12-31 |
| 9 | JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian | $67.01K | 0.34% | 2026-03-31 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $2.29M | 43.37% | 2026-03-31 |
| 2 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $1.22M | 23.14% | 2026-03-31 |
| 3 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $597.21K | 11.33% | 2026-03-31 |
| 4 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $416.54K | 7.90% | 2026-03-31 |
| 5 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $308.13K | 5.84% | 2026-03-31 |
| 6 | CAPITAL FUND MANAGEMENT S.A. | $200.38K | 3.80% | 2026-03-31 |
| 7 | JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian | $164.25K | 3.12% | 2026-03-31 |
| 8 | Walleye Trading LLC | $78.84K | 1.50% | 2026-03-31 |
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-02 | Jeffrey Likosar | Pres Corp Dev & Trans. & CFO | Buy (P) | +15,000 | $6.75 | $101.2K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-29 | Sigal Zarmi | Director | Award (A) | +26,354 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-29 | Tracey R. Griffin | Director | Award (A) | +26,354 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-29 | Thomas M Gartland | Director | Award (A) | +26,354 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-29 | Paul Joseph Smith | Director | Award (A) | +26,354 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-29 | Daniel Joseph Houston | Director | Award (A) | +26,354 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-29 | Suzanne Yoon | Director | Award (A) | +26,354 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-29 | Matthew E Winter | Director | Award (A) | +26,354 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-29 | Danielle Tiedt | Director | Award (A) | +26,354 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-18 | Kimberly Miller | EVP, CMO & Comm. Officer | Buy (P) | +3,625 | $6.91 | $25.0K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-12 | Daniel Joseph Houston | Director | Buy (P) | +36,450 | $6.87 | $250.4K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-12 | Omar Khan | EVP, Chief Business Officer | Buy (P) | +7,280 | $6.88 | $50.1K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-12 | Fawad Ahmad | EVP, Chief Oper and Cust. Off. | Buy (P) | +7,500 | $6.75 | $50.6K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-07 | Prime Security Services TopCo (ML), L.P. | Other (J) | −1,020,003,660 | $7.25 | -$7.40B | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-07 | Apollo Management Holdings GP, LLC | Other (J) | −306,001,098 | $7.25 | -$2.22B | EDGAR |
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PRIME SECURITY SERVICES TOPCO (ML), LLC | 10%+ Owner | 228,650,366 | $1.50B | -$4.01B | 1 | 2025-05-14 |
| 2 | AP VIII PRIME SECURITY SERVICES MANAGEMENT, LLC | 10%+ Owner | 183,650,366 | $1.21B | -$3.72B | 1 | 2025-06-06 |
| 3 | Apollo Management GP, LLC | 10%+ Owner | 102,000,366 | $671.16M | -$4.09B | 5 | 2025-08-08 |
| 4 | Marc S Jones | Executive Vice Pres., Solar | 26,329,529 | $173.25M | $0 | 5 | 2022-10-06 |
| 5 | Keith A. Meister | Director | 11,169,133 | $73.49M | $0 | 6 | 2013-11-22 |
| 6 | James David DeVries | Chairman, President & CEO | 5,143,864 | $33.85M | $1.27M | 52 | 2026-03-09 |
| 7 | Donald M. Young | EVP & COO | 3,130,235 | $20.60M | -$551.9K | 43 | 2025-04-11 |
| 8 | Timothy J. Whall | CEO & Director | 2,027,217 | $13.34M | $0 | 4 | 2018-10-04 |
| 9 | Daniel Bresingham | EVP, Commercial | 1,751,583 | $11.53M | -$4.11M | 30 | 2023-07-07 |
| 10 | Jamie Elizabeth Haenggi | Exec. Vice President, Solar | 1,405,663 | $9.25M | $579.0K | 18 | 2024-04-08 |
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 | 0001703056-26-000082 | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-08 | 0001703056-26-000078 | EDGAR |
| 2026-04-30 | 0001703056-26-000052 | EDGAR |
| 2026-04-24 | 0001703056-26-000038 | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-02 | 0001703056-26-000013 | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-24 | 0001703056-26-000005 | EDGAR |
| 2025-11-04 | 0001703056-25-000165 | EDGAR |
| 2025-10-28 | 0001703056-25-000162 | EDGAR |
| 2025-10-15 | 0001703056-25-000159 | EDGAR |
| 2025-09-30 | 0001703056-25-000151 | EDGAR |
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | 0001703056-26-000022 | EDGAR |
| 2025-02-27 | 0001703056-25-000022 | EDGAR |
| 2024-02-28 | 0001703056-24-000020 | EDGAR |
| 2023-02-28 | 0001703056-23-000046 | EDGAR |
| 2022-03-01 | 0001703056-22-000042 | EDGAR |
| 2021-02-25 | 0001703056-21-000020 | EDGAR |
| 2020-03-10 | 0001703056-20-000013 | EDGAR |
| 2019-03-11 | 0001703056-19-000042 | EDGAR |
| 2018-03-15 | 0001703056-18-000008 | EDGAR |
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | 0001703056-26-000059 | EDGAR |
| 2025-11-04 | 0001703056-25-000166 | EDGAR |
| 2025-07-24 | 0001703056-25-000139 | EDGAR |
| 2025-04-24 | 0001703056-25-000069 | EDGAR |
| 2024-10-24 | 0001703056-24-000107 | EDGAR |
| 2024-08-01 | 0001703056-24-000089 | EDGAR |
| 2024-04-25 | 0001703056-24-000051 | EDGAR |
| 2023-11-02 | 0001703056-23-000187 | EDGAR |
| 2023-08-08 | 0001703056-23-000157 | EDGAR |
| 2023-05-02 | 0001703056-23-000105 | EDGAR |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
| P/E Ratio | 9.4 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.3 |
| P/S Ratio | 1.0 |
| EV/EBITDA | 4.6 |
| TTM Revenue | $5.1B |
| TTM Net Income | $0.6B |
| TTM EPS | $0.7 |
| ROE | 16.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.71% |
| Debt/Equity | 2.02 |