Everus Construction Group, Inc.(ECG)

Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.

ECG iron condor setups ECG expected move ECG IV rank history

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

Snapshot
$148.83
52-Week Range
$58.00 – $171.58
YTD
+66.89%
IV Rank (30D)
5.46
Straddle Price
$20.15
P/C Vol Ratio
0.25
Market Cap
$7.3B
Fair Value
+1.1% vs price
Confidence: 72% Alpha Score: 0.01

A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.

  • DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
  • Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
  • DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 0.5% and dividend payments are stable.
  • P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
  • Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
  • Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
  • Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
  • Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
10-yr Treasury (rf)4.53%
Beta vs SPY1.00
Cost of Equity (CAPM)9.32% (VRP-adj)
WACC9.28%
Volatility Risk Premium-1.2pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj -21bps
Effective Tax Rate27.3%
Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input)+12.5%
DCF Horizon10 years explicit + fade
Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM)×1.10 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S)
Free Cash Flow (TTM)$0.2B
Return on Equity (TTM)32.5%
Book / Price9.3%
Gross Margin (TTM)12.4%
FCF Margin (TTM)5.8%
Debt / Equity0.38
Quality Score3/6 — normal (10y DCF)
Market-Implied Growth+15.3% (reverse-DCF on current price)
SMA 50$143.81 (Market Anchor value)
SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid$149.82
Bollinger Width / SMA208.8% (drives anchor stability)
Net Debt$-0.0B
Market Cap$7B
Peers used for multiples: AGX, EME, FIX, GVA, JCI, MYRG, STRL, TMHC
Blended Fair Value
$150.42
Current Price
$148.83
Deviation
+1.1%
Forward-Return Rank LONG gates ✓
?
Horizon Expected α z Pred Blended z Rank % Active?
21d -6.9% ⚠ -1.25 -0.78 3.0% —
42d -5.0% ⚠ -0.13 -0.22 13.7% —
63d -5.3% ⚠ -0.10 -0.21 13.9% —
Expected α = forward-return point estimate vs SPY (e.g., +7.5% means the predictor expects this stock to outperform SPY by 7.5% over that horizon). For SHORT direction the model uses a different ranking metric (conviction-weighted deviation, not the LGBM prediction); Expected α is shown for reference. ⚠ flags rows where Expected α disagrees with the FV direction — two independent signals are in conflict; conviction is low even if rank looks extreme.
Forward-Return Rank. A proprietary ensemble of a machine-learning forward-return model and a conviction-weighted fundamental score, ranked cross-sectionally each day across the S&P 500 (and broader universes on the screener). Each stock is scored at three horizons (21/42/63 trading days). "Active" = top/bottom 5% AND all risk filters pass. Backtested mean alpha vs SPY on active picks: 21d LONG +13.4%, 63d +34.9% (S&P 500, walk-forward). Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Value vs momentum conflict ⚠. The "FV direction" (long/short) comes from the fundamentals-based engine — price vs intrinsic value. The "Expected α" comes from a separate machine-learning predictor trained on ~12 features (sector, options-implied move, beta, institutional flow, etc.). Sometimes the two disagree: a stock is overvalued by fundamentals but the predictor expects it to keep outperforming (sector or momentum tailwinds). When all 3 horizons disagree, treat the direction signal as low-conviction — neither model is strongly recommending a position.
MethodImplied PriceWeightDetail
DCF $122.46 23%
DDM (Gordon) n/a 0%
Peer P/E $184.14 10% median 38.4× · 8 peers
Peer EV/EBITDA $160.70 10% median 23.2× · 8 peers
Peer P/B $120.57 2% median 9.0× · 8 peers
Peer P/S $230.66 7% median 2.7× · 8 peers
Market Anchor (SMA50) $143.81 47% stability 100% (BB-width)
Options Expected (B-L 30d) n/a 0%
As of 2026-06-12 · updated 2026-06-12 20:59:55.687000
Info
Industry (SIC)
OPERATIVE BUILDERS (1531)
Exchange
XNYS
Market Cap
$7.3B

Everus Construction Group Inc is a construction solutions provider, offering specialty contracting services to a diverse set of end markets across the U.S. It operates across two segments Electrical & Mechanical (E&M) and Transmission & Distribution (T&D), and delivers services through its subsidiaries. It generates the majority of revenue from the Electrical & Mechanical segment which offers a wide variety of specialty contracting services, including construction and maintenance of electrical and communication wiring, fire suppression systems, and mechanical piping and services, to customers …

Price History
Seasonality
MonthAvg ReturnYears of Data
Jan +2.28% 2
Feb -0.85% 2
Mar -7.29% 2
Apr +15.83% 2
May +20.92% 2
Jun +6.27% 2
Jul +17.04% 1
Aug +1.51% 1
Sep +12.06% 1
Oct +7.16% 1
Nov +9.85% 2
Dec +2.36% 2
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators
SMA 20: $149.21
SMA 50: $144.28
SMA 200: $106.40
Current: $148.83
EMA 12: $147.93
EMA 26: $148.02
MACD: -0.0912 | Signal: -1.3546
BULLISH
ADX (14): 18.11
RANGE
+DI: 17.94
−DI: 21.22
Momentum Oscillators
RSI (14): 50.88
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 32.76
Stoch %D: 32.51
Williams %R: -43.69
Volume & Volatility
BB Upper: $157.56
BB Lower: $140.86
NEUTRAL
OBV: 11,422,680
Vol SMA 20: 554,599
Vol ROC: -8.73%
ATR: $8.37
True Range: $7.50
HV 20: 49.9%
HV 30: 56.9%
HV 60: 59.5%
Data Summary
Data Points: 403
Last Updated: 2026-06-13T13:41:18.388000
Date Range: 2024-11-01T00:00:00 – 2026-06-12T00:00:00
AI Analysis

Choose Frenzy-Fast™ for quick analysis or Frenzy-Pro™ for comprehensive analysis.

Analysis includes technical indicators, news sentiment, risk assessment, and specific price levels to watch.

News
Earnings History
3 of 4 under expected move
Each row pairs the pre-earnings straddle-implied expected move with the realized close-to-close move. Sorted oldest first.
Earnings Date Timing Expected Move Actual Move Ratio Outcome
2025-08-12 After-Close 13.75% 4.43% 0.32x Within
2025-11-04 After-Close 17.20% 7.68% 0.45x Within
2026-02-24 After-Close 16.32% 25.74% 1.58x Exceeded
2026-05-05 After-Close 13.58% 0.28% 0.02x Within
Options Activity
IV Rank (30D)
5.46
IV Rank (7D)
83.19
Avg IV
61.1%
Straddle (30D)
$20.15
Straddle (7D)
$8.82
P/C Volume
0.25
Spread Scanner GPU
Full Algorithm Docs ↗

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR25 and BF25 from the live options chain. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)
Beta Analysis
Beta (1Y vs SPY)
2.53
Correlation (SPY)
54.4%
R²
0.30
Ann. Volatility
57.4%
SPY Volatility
12.3%

High volatility - stock moves more than market

Beta & Alpha Over Time
Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-03-31
Diluted shares outstanding: 51,135,750 (as of 2026-03-31)

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

496 filers85,534,646 shares$9.45B value167.27% of float
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 BlackRock, Inc. Custodian 12,181,850 $1.44B 15.22% 23.82% 2026-03-31
2 VANGUARD GROUP INC Custodian 10,364,572 $886.79M 9.39% 20.27% 2025-12-31
3 WASATCH ADVISORS LP 6,034,498 $712.43M 7.54% 11.80% 2026-03-31
4 STATE STREET CORP 3,234,656 $381.88M 4.04% 6.33% 2026-03-31
5 FIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP 2,561,832 $302.45M 3.20% 5.01% 2026-03-31
6 GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC Custodian 2,351,380 $277.66M 2.94% 4.60% 2026-03-31
7 Capital International Investors 2,229,222 $263.18M 2.79% 4.36% 2026-03-31
8 DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP Custodian 2,210,112 $260.86M 2.76% 4.32% 2026-03-31
9 EARNEST PARTNERS LLC 1,922,366 $226.95M 2.40% 3.76% 2026-03-31
10 Invesco Ltd. Custodian 1,913,212 $225.87M 2.39% 3.74% 2026-03-31
11 FULLER & THALER ASSET MANAGEMENT, INC. 1,543,622 $182.24M 1.93% 3.02% 2026-03-31
12 Forest Avenue Capital Management LP 1,430,570 $168.89M 1.79% 2.80% 2026-03-31
13 MORGAN STANLEY Custodian 1,829,066 $156.50M 1.66% 3.58% 2025-12-31
14 WESTWOOD HOLDINGS GROUP INC 1,272,014 $150.17M 1.59% 2.49% 2026-03-31
15 Capital World Investors 1,228,624 $145.05M 1.54% 2.40% 2026-03-31
16 MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC Custodian 1,130,978 $133.52M 1.41% 2.21% 2026-03-31
17 CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC 1,092,436 $128.97M 1.37% 2.14% 2026-03-31
18 DRIEHAUS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 1,031,538 $121.78M 1.29% 2.02% 2026-03-31
19 ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN L.P. 1,353,198 $115.78M 1.23% 2.65% 2026-03-31
20 LOOMIS SAYLES & CO L P 861,096 $101.66M 1.08% 1.68% 2026-03-31
21 D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. Custodian 843,412 $99.57M 1.05% 1.65% 2026-03-31
22 NORTHERN TRUST CORP Custodian 820,642 $96.88M 1.03% 1.60% 2026-03-31
23 MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd. 810,838 $95.72M 1.01% 1.59% 2026-03-31
24 US BANCORP \DE\ Custodian 784,820 $92.66M 0.98% 1.53% 2026-03-31
25 GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC Custodian 752,178 $88.80M 0.94% 1.47% 2026-03-31
5 filers$16.95M notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian $8.67M 51.11% 2026-03-31
2 CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian $2.95M 17.41% 2026-03-31
3 Twin Tree Management, LP $2.76M 16.30% 2026-03-31
4 JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian $1.79M 10.59% 2026-03-31
5 IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian $779.20K 4.60% 2026-03-31
7 filers$33.17M notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian $26.35M 79.43% 2026-03-31
2 TUDOR INVESTMENT CORP ET AL $3.35M 10.11% 2026-03-31
3 Twin Tree Management, LP $1.70M 5.12% 2026-03-31
4 CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian $1.06M 3.20% 2026-03-31
5 GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian $306.96K 0.93% 2026-03-31
6 IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian $283.34K 0.85% 2026-03-31
7 SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian $118.06K 0.36% 2026-03-31
Recent SEC Filings
Latest: 2026-05-14
Current reports — material events the company must disclose within 4 business days (earnings releases, M&A, executive changes, etc.).
Filing Date Accession Link
2026-05-14 0002015845-26-000033 EDGAR
2026-05-05 0002015845-26-000027 EDGAR
2026-04-02 0002015845-26-000023 EDGAR
2026-02-24 0002015845-26-000007 EDGAR
2026-01-21 0002015845-26-000003 EDGAR
2025-11-04 0002015845-25-000080 EDGAR
2025-08-12 0002015845-25-000072 EDGAR
2025-07-29 0002015845-25-000065 EDGAR
2025-05-28 0002015845-25-000052 EDGAR
2025-05-22 0002015845-25-000045 EDGAR
Annual report — audited financial statements, MD&A, risk factors. Filed 60–90 days after fiscal year-end.
Filing Date Accession Link
2026-02-25 0002015845-26-000010 EDGAR
2025-02-28 0002015845-25-000012 EDGAR
Quarterly report — unaudited financials and MD&A. Filed 40–45 days after each of the first three fiscal quarters.
Filing Date Accession Link
2026-05-06 0002015845-26-000030 EDGAR
2025-11-05 0002015845-25-000083 EDGAR
2025-08-13 0002015845-25-000076 EDGAR
2025-05-15 0002015845-25-000041 EDGAR
2024-11-21 0002015845-24-000022 EDGAR
ETF Holders
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.

P/E Ratio34.1
P/B Ratio10.7
P/S Ratio1.9
EV/EBITDA22.8
TTM Revenue$4.0B
TTM Net Income$0.2B
TTM EPS$4.36
ROE32.5%
Debt/Equity0.40