Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.(EXPD)
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $110.48 – $168.52
- YTD
- +6.23%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 6.96
- Straddle Price
- $8.95
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 0.02
- Market Cap
- $21.1B
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 0.5% and dividend payments are stable.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 4.43% |
| Beta vs SPY | 0.91 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 9.00% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 9.66% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +20.6pp (IV − HV30) |
| Effective Tax Rate | 25.5% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | +4.9% |
| DCF Horizon | 10 years explicit + fade |
| Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM) | ×1.05 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S) |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $0.9B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | 36.6% |
| Book / Price | 10.5% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 33.5% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | 8.2% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.00 |
| Quality Score | 3/6 — normal (10y DCF) |
| Market-Implied Growth | +10.2% (reverse-DCF on current price) |
| SMA 50 | $154.59 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $161.44 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 4.5% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $-1.3B |
| Market Cap | $22B |
| Horizon | Expected α | z Pred | Blended z | Rank % | Active? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21d | -3.2% | -0.69 | -0.63 | 61.6% | — |
| 42d | -4.1% | -0.41 | -0.63 | 61.6% | — |
| 63d | -2.3% | +0.18 | -0.63 | 61.6% | — |
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | $121.85 | 17% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | $40.82 | 13% | |
| Peer P/E | $208.52 | 7% | median 32.1× · 8 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | $151.33 | 7% | median 16.1× · 8 peers |
| Peer P/B | $125.75 | 1% | median 7.4× · 8 peers |
| Peer P/S | $214.03 | 5% | median 2.5× · 8 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $154.59 | 33% | stability 100% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | $161.85 | 16% | 19 strikes · skew +1.88 |
- Industry (SIC)
- ARRANGEMENT OF TRANSPORTATION OF FREIGHT & CARGO (4731)
- Exchange
- XNYS
- Market Cap
- $21.1B
Based in the US, Expeditors International of Washington is a non-asset-based third-party logistics provider, mainly focused on international freight forwarding. Its offers freight consolidation and forwarding, customs brokerage, warehousing and distribution, purchase order management, vendor consolidation, and numerous other value-added logistics services. It employs sophisticated IT systems and contracts with airlines and ocean carriers to move customers' freight across the globe. The firm operates more than 200 full-service office locations worldwide, in addition to numerous satellite locati…
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | -0.78% | 23 |
| Feb | -0.84% | 23 |
| Mar | +1.52% | 23 |
| Apr | +1.43% | 23 |
| May | +3.45% | 23 |
| Jun | -1.86% | 23 |
| Jul | +1.03% | 22 |
| Aug | -1.62% | 22 |
| Sep | +1.43% | 23 |
| Oct | +1.52% | 23 |
| Nov | +3.27% | 23 |
| Dec | -0.98% | 23 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
Choose Frenzy-Fast™ for quick analysis or Frenzy-Pro™ for comprehensive analysis.
Analysis includes technical indicators, news sentiment, risk assessment, and specific price levels to watch.
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-06 | Pre-Market | 6.35% | 4.28% | 0.67x | Within |
| 2024-11-05 | After-Close | 4.18% | 2.14% | 0.51x | Within |
| 2025-02-18 | unknown | 2.37% | 1.49% | 0.63x | Within |
| 2025-05-06 | Pre-Market | 6.19% | 5.03% | 0.81x | Within |
| 2025-08-05 | Pre-Market | 4.81% | 0.50% | 0.10x | Within |
| 2025-11-04 | After-Close | 4.65% | 3.52% | 0.76x | Within |
| 2026-02-24 | Pre-Market | 8.41% | 7.66% | 0.91x | Within |
| 2026-05-05 | Pre-Market | 6.28% | 9.81% | 1.56x | Exceeded |
- IV Rank (30D)
- 6.96
- IV Rank (7D)
- 100
- Avg IV
- 40.0%
- Straddle (30D)
- $8.95
- Straddle (7D)
- $2.20
- P/C Volume
- 0.02
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 0.51
- Correlation (SPY)
- 20.6%
- R²
- 0.04
- Ann. Volatility
- 30.5%
- SPY Volatility
- 12.4%
Low volatility - stock moves less than market
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $14.25M | 35.07% | 2026-03-31 |
| 2 | PEAK6 LLC | $8.65M | 21.29% | 2026-03-31 |
| 3 | JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian | $6.75M | 16.60% | 2026-03-31 |
| 4 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $4.65M | 11.45% | 2026-03-31 |
| 5 | TUDOR INVESTMENT CORP ET AL | $3.57M | 8.78% | 2026-03-31 |
| 6 | WOLVERINE TRADING, LLC Custodian | $1.33M | 3.26% | 2025-09-30 |
| 7 | Point72 Asset Management, L.P. | $673.18K | 1.66% | 2026-03-31 |
| 8 | Walleye Capital LLC | $630.21K | 1.55% | 2026-03-31 |
| 9 | Walleye Trading LLC | $143.23K | 0.35% | 2026-03-31 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $4.86M | 45.44% | 2026-03-31 |
| 2 | Walleye Trading LLC | $3.27M | 30.56% | 2026-03-31 |
| 3 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $1.12M | 10.46% | 2026-03-31 |
| 4 | PEAK6 LLC | $902.35K | 8.45% | 2026-03-31 |
| 5 | JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian | $501.31K | 4.69% | 2026-03-31 |
| 6 | Walleye Capital LLC | $42.97K | 0.40% | 2026-03-31 |
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Kelly K Blacker | President, Global Geographies | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-17 | Daniel R Wall | President and CEO | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-17 | David A Hackett | Senior VP - CFO | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-17 | Courtney A Hawkins | Senior VP - CIO | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-17 | Roberto A Martinez | President, Global Products | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-17 | Jeffrey F Dickerman | Senior VP/Gen Counsel/Corp Sec | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-17 | Gabe O Schoonover | SVP - Global Ent Svc & CSO | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-17 | Blake R Bell | President Global Business Dev | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-05-11 | Blake R Bell | President Global Business Dev | Mixed | +1,847 | $151.24 | -$164.1K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-11 | Kelly K Blacker | President, Global Geographies | Mixed | +1,847 | $151.24 | -$164.1K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-11 | Jeffrey F Dickerman | Senior VP/Gen Counsel/Corp Sec | Mixed | +468 | $151.24 | -$46.0K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-11 | David A Hackett | Senior VP - CFO | Mixed | +109 | $151.24 | -$5.6K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-11 | Roberto A Martinez | President, Global Products | Mixed | +555 | $151.24 | -$55.8K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-11 | Gabe O Schoonover | SVP - Global Ent Svc & CSO | Mixed | +112 | $151.24 | -$5.6K | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-11 | Daniel R Wall | President and CEO | Mixed | +1,094 | $151.24 | -$97.4K | EDGAR |
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PETER J ROSE | Chairman and CEO | 1,159,924 | $187.12M | -$53.16M | 39 | 2011-05-10 |
| 2 | R JORDAN GATES | President and COO | 559,179 | $90.21M | -$14.65M | 7 | 2010-11-22 |
| 3 | TIMOTHY C BARBER | President, Sales & Marketing | 495,316 | $79.90M | -$14.50M | 10 | 2010-11-08 |
| 4 | JAMES L K WANG | President-Asia | 462,246 | $74.57M | -$27.56M | 9 | 2011-08-09 |
| 5 | ROMMEL C SABER | Executive VP-Near/Middle East | 391,133 | $63.10M | -$11.84M | 13 | 2011-05-06 |
| 6 | Jeffrey S Musser | President and CEO | 250,658 | $40.44M | -$37.03M | 66 | 2025-02-25 |
| 7 | GLENN M ALGER | Director | 198,238 | $31.98M | -$48.21M | 14 | 2026-05-07 |
| 8 | JEAN CLAUDE CARCAILLET | Senior VP-Australasia | 172,190 | $27.78M | -$11.87M | 7 | 2010-08-06 |
| 9 | ROBERT L VILLANUEVA | President-The Americas | 166,036 | $26.78M | -$7.90M | 10 | 2011-05-06 |
| 10 | MICHAEL J MALONE | Director | 123,341 | $19.90M | -$3.64M | 11 | 2011-08-04 |
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | 0001193125-26-232738 | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-06 | 0001193125-26-209000 | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-05 | 0001193125-26-205511 | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-05 | 0001193125-26-206504 | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-23 | 0001193125-26-119919 | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-24 | 0001193125-26-066101 | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-24 | 0001193125-26-066108 | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-19 | 0001193125-26-059724 | EDGAR |
| 2025-11-14 | 0001193125-25-282956 | EDGAR |
| 2025-11-04 | 0001193125-25-264045 | EDGAR |
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | 0001193125-26-071569 | EDGAR |
| 2025-02-21 | 0000950170-25-024750 | EDGAR |
| 2024-02-23 | 0000950170-24-019394 | EDGAR |
| 2023-03-01 | 0000950170-23-005412 | EDGAR |
| 2022-03-15 | 0001564590-22-010381 | EDGAR |
| 2021-02-19 | 0001564590-21-006925 | EDGAR |
| 2020-02-21 | 0001564590-20-005719 | EDGAR |
| 2019-02-22 | 0000746515-19-000004 | EDGAR |
| 2018-02-23 | 0000746515-18-000004 | EDGAR |
| 2017-02-23 | 0000746515-17-000007 | EDGAR |
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 0001193125-26-208834 | EDGAR |
| 2025-11-06 | 0001193125-25-268710 | EDGAR |
| 2025-08-07 | 0000746515-25-000007 | EDGAR |
| 2025-05-08 | 0000950170-25-066562 | EDGAR |
| 2024-11-05 | 0000950170-24-121496 | EDGAR |
| 2024-08-08 | 0000950170-24-093558 | EDGAR |
| 2024-05-09 | 0000950170-24-056466 | EDGAR |
| 2023-11-08 | 0000950170-23-061159 | EDGAR |
| 2023-08-08 | 0000950170-23-039847 | EDGAR |
| 2023-05-04 | 0000950170-23-017600 | EDGAR |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
| P/E Ratio | 26.1 |
| P/B Ratio | 9.2 |
| P/S Ratio | 1.9 |
| EV/EBITDA | 17.4 |
| TTM Revenue | $11.2B |
| TTM Net Income | $0.8B |
| TTM EPS | $6.19 |
| ROE | 36.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.99% |