St. Joe Company(JOE)
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $45.83 – $73.54
- YTD
- +8.54%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 18.79
- Straddle Price
- $4.70
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 0.11
- Market Cap
- $3.7B
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 0.5% and dividend payments are stable.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 4.53% |
| Beta vs SPY | 1.00 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 9.94% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 9.59% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +11.1pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +41bps |
| Effective Tax Rate | 25.2% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | -10.0% |
| DCF Horizon | 10 years explicit + fade |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $0.2B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | 14.6% |
| Book / Price | 20.6% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 43.1% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | 34.6% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.23 |
| Quality Score | 3/6 — normal (10y DCF) |
| Market-Implied Growth | +9.1% (reverse-DCF on current price) |
| SMA 50 | $65.76 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $64.22 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 6.5% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $0.0B |
| Market Cap | $4B |
| Horizon | Expected α | z Pred | Blended z | Rank % | Active? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21d | -3.2% | -0.10 | -0.80 | 32.2% | — |
| 42d | -6.7% | -0.52 | -0.80 | 32.2% | — |
| 63d | -8.1% | -0.62 | -0.80 | 32.2% | — |
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | $20.92 | 20% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | $2.80 | 16% | |
| Peer P/E | $81.19 | 6% | median 42.1× · 8 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | $93.94 | 6% | median 28.2× · 8 peers |
| Peer P/B | $53.68 | 6% | median 4.0× · 8 peers |
| Peer P/S | $95.70 | 6% | median 10.7× · 8 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $65.76 | 40% | stability 100% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | n/a | 0% |
- Industry (SIC)
- LAND SUBDIVIDERS & DEVELOPERS (NO CEMETERIES) (6552)
- Exchange
- XNYS
- Market Cap
- $3.7B
The St. Joe Co is a real estate development, asset management, and operating company and it has three operating segments; the Residential segment plans and develops residential communities and sells homesites to homebuilders or retail consumers, the Hospitality segment that derives maximum revenue, features a private membership club, hotel operations, food and beverage operations, golf courses, beach clubs, retail outlets, gulf-front vacation rentals, management services, marinas, and other entertainment assets, and Commercial segment include leasing of commercial property, multi-family, senio…
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | +2.15% | 6 |
| Feb | +2.30% | 6 |
| Mar | -0.05% | 6 |
| Apr | -2.32% | 6 |
| May | +2.02% | 6 |
| Jun | -2.77% | 6 |
| Jul | +12.89% | 5 |
| Aug | -1.60% | 5 |
| Sep | -6.25% | 5 |
| Oct | +1.43% | 5 |
| Nov | +3.87% | 5 |
| Dec | +3.31% | 5 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
Choose Frenzy-Fast™ for quick analysis or Frenzy-Pro™ for comprehensive analysis.
Analysis includes technical indicators, news sentiment, risk assessment, and specific price levels to watch.
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-24 | Pre-Market | 7.24% | 5.07% | 0.70x | Within |
| 2024-10-23 | After-Close | 7.56% | 5.69% | 0.75x | Within |
| 2025-02-26 | After-Close | 7.66% | 3.12% | 0.41x | Within |
| 2025-04-23 | After-Close | 9.87% | 0.79% | 0.08x | Within |
| 2025-07-23 | Pre-Market | 6.20% | 0.91% | 0.15x | Within |
| 2025-10-29 | After-Close | 7.29% | 11.87% | 1.63x | Exceeded |
| 2026-02-25 | After-Close | 9.33% | 1.69% | 0.18x | Within |
| 2026-04-29 | After-Close | 7.64% | 6.46% | 0.85x | Within |
- IV Rank (30D)
- 18.79
- IV Rank (7D)
- 100
- Avg IV
- 53.2%
- Straddle (30D)
- $4.70
- Straddle (7D)
- $1.88
- P/C Volume
- 0.11
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR25 and BF25 from the live options chain. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 0.60
- Correlation (SPY)
- 24.2%
- R²
- 0.06
- Ann. Volatility
- 30.7%
- SPY Volatility
- 12.3%
Low volatility - stock moves less than market
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $3.05M | 26.33% | 2026-03-31 |
| 2 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $2.91M | 25.14% | 2026-03-31 |
| 3 | JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian | $1.71M | 14.79% | 2026-03-31 |
| 4 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $1.58M | 13.65% | 2026-03-31 |
| 5 | D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. Custodian | $1.34M | 11.59% | 2026-03-31 |
| 6 | WOLVERINE TRADING, LLC Custodian | $751.94K | 6.49% | 2025-09-30 |
| 7 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $219.80K | 1.90% | 2026-03-31 |
| 8 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $12.56K | 0.11% | 2026-03-31 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $1.78M | 50.84% | 2026-03-31 |
| 2 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $1.19M | 33.95% | 2026-03-31 |
| 3 | CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian | $496.12K | 14.19% | 2026-03-31 |
| 4 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $31.40K | 0.90% | 2026-03-31 |
| 5 | Cresset Asset Management, LLC | $4.14K | 0.12% | 2026-03-31 |
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | FAIRHOLME FUNDS INC | 10%+ Owner | Sell (S) | −119,400 | $65.11 | -$7.77M | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-08 | BRUCE R BERKOWITZ | 10%+ Owner | Sell (S) | −243,400 | $65.12 | -$15.85M | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-12 | FAIRHOLME FUNDS INC | 10%+ Owner | Sell (S) | −231,400 | $65.94 | -$15.26M | EDGAR |
| 2026-05-07 | FAIRHOLME FUNDS INC | 10%+ Owner | Sell (S) | −755,600 | $65.75 | -$49.68M | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-19 | FAIRHOLME FUNDS INC | 10%+ Owner | Sell (S) | −42,200 | $72.22 | -$3.05M | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-06 | FAIRHOLME FUNDS INC | 10%+ Owner | Sell (S) | −2,800 | $73.50 | -$205.8K | EDGAR |
| 2026-03-04 | Jorge Luis Gonzalez | President, CEO and Chairman | Award (A) | +11,126 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-03-04 | Marek Bakun | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Award (A) | +3,702 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-03-04 | Elizabeth J WALTERS | SVP, Chief Legal Officer & Sec | Award (A) | +3,075 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-03-04 | RHEA GOFF | SVP & Chief Admin. Officer | Award (A) | +2,494 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-03-03 | BRUCE R BERKOWITZ | 10%+ Owner | Sell (S) | −78,000 | $72.37 | -$5.64M | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-27 | Elizabeth J WALTERS | SVP, Chief Legal Officer & Sec | Tax (F) | −187 | $68.92 | -$12.9K | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-27 | Marek Bakun | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Tax (F) | −225 | $68.92 | -$15.5K | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-27 | RHEA GOFF | SVP & Chief Admin. Officer | Tax (F) | −141 | $68.92 | -$9.7K | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-24 | Elizabeth J WALTERS | SVP, Chief Legal Officer & Sec | Tax (F) | −729 | $70.44 | -$51.4K | EDGAR |
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FAIRHOLME FUNDS INC | 10%+ Owner | 42,241,844 | $2.74B | -$426.97M | 26 | 2026-06-11 |
| 2 | BRUCE R BERKOWITZ | 10%+ Owner | 16,207,024 | $1.05B | -$326.55M | 32 | 2026-06-08 |
| 3 | FAIRHOLME CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | Director | 1,270,300 | $82.47M | $35.87M | 8 | 2018-03-13 |
| 4 | William Britton Greene | President and CEO | 260,612 | $16.92M | -$2.67M | 29 | 2011-03-01 |
| 5 | PETER S RUMMELL | Chairman and CEO | 201,317 | $13.07M | $0 | 2 | 2007-10-12 |
| 6 | CHRISTOPHER T CORR | EVP and Chief Strategy Officer | 112,884 | $7.33M | -$310.4K | 9 | 2008-03-04 |
| 7 | Jorge Luis Gonzalez | President, CEO and Chairman | 77,883 | $5.06M | $745.0K | 23 | 2026-03-04 |
| 8 | WILLIAM S MCCALMONT | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | 77,148 | $5.01M | -$345.1K | 22 | 2011-05-12 |
| 9 | CHRISTINE M MARX | General Counsel and Secretary | 49,360 | $3.20M | -$2.43M | 17 | 2009-10-07 |
| 10 | STEPHEN W SOLOMON | SVP and Treasurer | 46,534 | $3.02M | -$199.0K | 6 | 2009-12-24 |
| 11 | Roderick T Wilson | President - West Bay Sector | 44,651 | $2.90M | $0 | 5 | 2011-03-07 |
| 12 | THOMAS P JR MURPHY | Director | 34,116 | $2.21M | $0 | 8 | 2019-07-03 |
| 13 | WALTER L REVELL | Director | 32,612 | $2.12M | -$161.1K | 24 | 2011-01-05 |
| 14 | HOWARD S FRANK | Director | 30,000 | $1.95M | $554.5K | 2 | 2018-05-04 |
| 15 | Park Brady | Chief Executive Officer | 29,838 | $1.94M | $47.4K | 2 | 2012-03-06 |
| 16 | THOMAS A FANNING | Director | 28,805 | $1.87M | $0 | 24 | 2011-07-06 |
| 17 | JOHN S LORD | Director | 27,013 | $1.75M | -$175.8K | 22 | 2011-01-05 |
| 18 | Rusty A Bozman | SVP - Corporate Development | 26,435 | $1.72M | $0 | 4 | 2011-03-07 |
| 19 | Marek Bakun | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | 24,995 | $1.62M | $102.8K | 13 | 2026-03-04 |
| 20 | DELORES P KESLER | Director | 24,114 | $1.57M | $0 | 13 | 2011-05-18 |
| 21 | MICHAEL L AINSLIE | Director | 24,098 | $1.56M | -$508.3K | 16 | 2011-01-05 |
| 22 | MICHAEL N REGAN | Chief Financial Officer | 22,621 | $1.47M | $0 | 2 | 2007-03-08 |
| 23 | JANNA L CONNOLLY | SVP/Chief Financial Officer | 22,101 | $1.43M | -$570.9K | 28 | 2012-02-15 |
| 24 | Elizabeth J WALTERS | SVP, Chief Legal Officer & Sec | 18,983 | $1.23M | $49.4K | 10 | 2026-03-04 |
| 25 | Stanley Martin | Director | 17,073 | $1.11M | $0 | 4 | 2016-05-18 |
| 26 | HUGH M DURDEN | Director | 16,237 | $1.05M | -$190.6K | 16 | 2012-03-14 |
| 27 | Kenneth Borick | SVP, General Counsel | 15,302 | $993.4K | $76.8K | 3 | 2018-05-01 |
| 28 | Harry H III Frampton | Director | 15,011 | $974.5K | $0 | 10 | 2008-10-03 |
| 29 | ADAM W JR HERBERT | Director | 13,943 | $905.2K | $0 | 7 | 2009-05-13 |
| 30 | RHEA GOFF | SVP & Chief Admin. Officer | 11,558 | $750.3K | $0 | 8 | 2026-03-04 |
| 31 | WILLIAM H III WALTON | Director | 10,195 | $661.9K | $0 | 7 | 2008-04-02 |
| 32 | Charles Joseph Jr Crist | Director | 10,136 | $658.0K | $0 | 2 | 2012-05-21 |
| 33 | Vito S Portera | Director | 8,500 | $551.8K | $0 | 3 | 2016-05-18 |
| 34 | JEFFREY C KEIL | Director | 8,408 | $545.8K | $0 | 2 | 2013-05-20 |
| 35 | Stephen K. Hilliard | SVP-Operations | 5,708 | $370.6K | -$139.6K | 5 | 2012-09-12 |
| 36 | James S Hunt | Director | 5,521 | $358.4K | $0 | 2 | 2019-07-03 |
| 37 | CESAR L ALVAREZ | Director | 4,700 | $305.1K | $89.8K | 5 | 2018-03-19 |
| 38 | David Harrelson | Sr. Vice President, Timberland | 1,315 | $85.4K | -$81.6K | 3 | 2013-02-12 |
| 39 | Patrick Wayne Murphy | SVP, Operations | 1,274 | $82.7K | $35.0K | 1 | 2018-03-19 |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
| P/E Ratio | 33.6 |
| P/B Ratio | 4.9 |
| P/S Ratio | 7.2 |
| EV/EBITDA | 21.7 |
| TTM Revenue | $0.5B |
| TTM Net Income | $0.1B |
| TTM EPS | $1.93 |
| ROE | 14.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.93% |
| Debt/Equity | 0.81 |