High Probability Advisors, LLC — 13F Holdings & Portfolio
CIK 2039415 · latest 13F-HR filed 2026-04-13
AUM is the long-equity portion reported on Form 13F-HR. Excludes short positions, cash, foreign holdings, and non-13F assets. For informational purposes only — not investment advice.
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AUM
$781.4M
Long-equity book
Holdings
67
Distinct positions
Period
2026-03-31
Filed 2026-04-13
Q/Q Activity
+4 / −10 / ↑16 / ↓12
vs 2025-12-31
Firm Profile & Key People
| Name | Title / Status | Ownership | Type |
|---|
Top Adds (vs prior quarter)
- BLACKROCK ETF TRUST$21.8M +81.6%
- ISHARES TR$7.5M +22.2%
- STATE STR SPDR S&P 500 ETF T$6.5M +353.8%
- SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR$5.0M +14.1%
- SPDR SERIES TRUST$3.4M +13.0%
Top Trims
- GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR-$8.7M -8.1%
- ISHARES TR-$5.1M -6.3%
- FIDELITY COVINGTON TRUST-$1.6M -5.1%
- ISHARES TR-$747.1K -32.4%
- VANGUARD MUN BD FDS-$302.6K -7.7%
New Positions
- NVIDIA CORPORATION$285.8K
- ISHARES GOLD TR$238.5K
- AMAZON COM INC$228.3K
- TORTOISE CAPITAL SERIES TRUS$147.5K
Exited Positions
- VANGUARD SCOTTSDALE FDS$2.1M
- VANGUARD SCOTTSDALE FDS$1.0M
- AVALONBAY CMNTYS INC$601.6K
- MID-AMER APT CMNTYS INC$322.0K
- VANGUARD BD INDEX FDS$309.0K
All Holdings
Rows tagged Call or Put are options positions, not stock. Per SEC Form 13F-HR, Value shows the notional value of the underlying (shares covered × underlying price), not the option premium. Shares is the number of underlying shares covered (divide by 100 for contract count).
| # | Issuer | Symbol | CUSIP | Value | Weight | Shares | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR | GSLC | 381430503 | $98.7M | 12.63% | 788,473 | SH |
| 2 | ISHARES TR | MTUM | 46432F396 | $75.4M | 9.65% | 314,322 | SH |
| 3 | DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST | DUHP | 25434V831 | $55.8M | 7.14% | 1,517,010 | SH |
| 4 | BLACKROCK ETF TRUST | DYNF | 09290C103 | $48.4M | 6.19% | 831,989 | SH |
| 5 | GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR | GSIE | 381430107 | $42.7M | 5.46% | 989,692 | SH |
| 6 | ISHARES TR | NYF | 464288323 | $41.2M | 5.27% | 775,203 | SH |
| 7 | SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR | SCHO | 808524862 | $40.8M | 5.23% | 1,682,861 | SH |
| 8 | DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST | DIHP | 25434V765 | $39.4M | 5.04% | 1,222,521 | SH |
| 9 | ISHARES TR | USMV | 46429B697 | $36.5M | 4.67% | 393,657 | SH |
| 10 | SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR | SCHR | 808524854 | $31.7M | 4.06% | 1,272,625 | SH |
| 11 | AMERICAN CENTY ETF TR | AVUV | 025072877 | $31.0M | 3.96% | 280,293 | SH |
| 12 | SPDR SERIES TRUST | SPIB | 78464A375 | $29.9M | 3.82% | 890,888 | SH |
| 13 | FIDELITY COVINGTON TRUST | FVAL | 316092782 | $29.5M | 3.77% | 424,713 | SH |
| 14 | FIDELITY COVINGTON TRUST | FQAL | 316092790 | $23.7M | 3.04% | 326,720 | SH |
| 15 | ISHARES TR | SHYG | 46434V407 | $22.6M | 2.89% | 533,407 | SH |
| 16 | AMERICAN CENTY ETF TR | AVEM | 025072604 | $22.2M | 2.84% | 275,318 | SH |
| 17 | ISHARES TR | IUSV | 464287663 | $18.2M | 2.33% | 178,271 | SH |
| 18 | ISHARES TR | IVLU | 46435G409 | $14.4M | 1.84% | 362,399 | SH |
| 19 | SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR | FNDC | 808524748 | $13.4M | 1.72% | 289,799 | SH |
| 20 | GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR | GSSC | 381430602 | $11.9M | 1.53% | 160,298 | SH |
| 21 | SPDR SERIES TRUST | SPTL | 78464A664 | $10.6M | 1.36% | 403,545 | SH |
| 22 | STATE STR SPDR S&P 500 ETF T | SPY | 78462F103 | $8.3M | 1.06% | 12,724 | SH |
| 23 | SPDR SERIES TRUST | SPYM | 78464A854 | $4.2M | 0.54% | 55,336 | SH |
| 24 | VANGUARD MUN BD FDS | VTEB | 922907746 | $3.6M | 0.46% | 72,251 | SH |
| 25 | ISHARES TR | IWV | 464287689 | $1.9M | 0.25% | 5,180 | SH |
| 26 | ISHARES TR | REZ | 464288562 | $1.9M | 0.25% | 23,069 | SH |
| 27 | ISHARES TR | IXUS | 46432F834 | $1.7M | 0.22% | 19,497 | SH |
| 28 | ISHARES TR | IVV | 464287200 | $1.6M | 0.20% | 2,390 | SH |
| 29 | ISHARES TR | IWD | 464287598 | $1.3M | 0.17% | 6,221 | SH |
| 30 | APPLE INC | AAPL | 037833100 | $1.2M | 0.16% | 4,829 | SH |
| 31 | DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST | DFAC | 25434V708 | $1.2M | 0.15% | 30,828 | SH |
| 32 | ISHARES TR | ACWX | 464288240 | $1.1M | 0.14% | 15,964 | SH |
| 33 | SPDR SERIES TRUST | SPMD | 78464A847 | $1.0M | 0.13% | 17,267 | SH |
| 34 | BROADSTONE NET LEASE INC | BNL | 11135E203 | $949.1K | 0.12% | 51,949 | SH |
| 35 | SCHWAB STRATEGIC TR | SCHB | 808524102 | $919.2K | 0.12% | 36,623 | SH |
| 36 | MICROSOFT CORP | MSFT | 594918104 | $852.5K | 0.11% | 2,303 | SH |
| 37 | ISHARES TR | IWM | 464287655 | $812.2K | 0.10% | 3,275 | SH |
| 38 | ALPHABET INC | GOOGL | 02079K305 | $640.1K | 0.08% | 2,226 | SH |
| 39 | ISHARES TR | IJR | 464287804 | $618.6K | 0.08% | 4,976 | SH |
| 40 | VANGUARD TAX-MANAGED FDS | VEA | 921943858 | $595.1K | 0.08% | 9,286 | SH |
| 41 | TRANE TECHNOLOGIES PLC | TT | G8994E103 | $583.0K | 0.07% | 1,399 | SH |
| 42 | DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST | DFAT | 25434V609 | $541.6K | 0.07% | 8,672 | SH |
| 43 | ISHARES TR | OEF | 464287101 | $512.1K | 0.07% | 1,610 | SH |
| 44 | ISHARES TR | GVI | 464288612 | $511.7K | 0.07% | 4,797 | SH |
| 45 | EATON CORP PLC | ETN | G29183103 | $478.6K | 0.06% | 1,338 | SH |
| 46 | GOLDMAN SACHS ETF TR | GBIL | 381430529 | $470.2K | 0.06% | 4,693 | SH |
| 47 | ISHARES TR | IEI | 464288661 | $460.0K | 0.06% | 3,878 | SH |
| 48 | ISHARES TR | ACWI | 464288257 | $450.1K | 0.06% | 3,253 | SH |
| 49 | HARTFORD INSURANCE GROUP INC | HIG | 416515104 | $371.9K | 0.05% | 2,750 | SH |
| 50 | TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFAC | TSM | 874039100 | $368.7K | 0.05% | 1,091 | SH |
Filing History
| Period | Filed | AUM | Holdings | Accession |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-04-13 | $781.4M | 67 | 0002085853-26-000339 |
| 2025-12-31 | 2026-01-29 | $749.9M | 73 | 0002085853-26-000141 |