Mud: First Week Album Equivalent Units

8 outcomesSettles Oct 18, 2026 (11d)

50/50 line55%Above 15K

Line nearest 50/50

55%

Above 15K

Market median

15.278K

even odds of landing above or below

Biggest 24h move-3 pts

86%

Above 9K

24h volume

$2K

$7K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no

Above 7K 92%

Above 6K 90%

Above 9K 86% -3

Above 10K 58% -22

Above 15K 55%

Above 17K 19%

Above 20K 18%

Above 30K 8%

median 15.278K

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

rungs nearest 50/50 · daily

Outcome	Odds	24h change	24h volume	Open interest
Above 7K	92%	—	$29	$817
Above 6K	90%	—	$15	$2K
Above 9K	86%	-3.0	$622	$2K
Above 10K	58%	-21.5	$413	$2K
Above 15K	55%	—	$10	$10
Above 17K	19%	—	$412	$412
Above 20K	18%	-0.5	$160	$546
Above 30K	8%	—	$224	$224