What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 30%, implying a 30% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 18, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 17K

Settles Oct 18, 2026 (11d) All outcomes: Mud: First Week Album Equivalent Units

chance of YES30%

Price range (6h)

3–34%

24h volume

412

$1 contracts

Open interest

412

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 6h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.