Anthropic market share this week
50/50 line60%Above 2.7%
Line nearest 50/50
60%
Market median
2.742%
Biggest 24h move+39 pts
98%
24h volume
$52K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove 2.1%
98%
Above 2.3%
98%
+39
Above 2.4%
80%
+36
Above 2.5%
74%
Above 2.6%
67%
Above 2.7%
60%
Above 2.8%
37%
Above 2.9%
21%
What the market expects
median 2.742%Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · hourlyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Above 2.1%YES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- Above 2.3%YES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 2.1% | YES | 97¢ | $2K | |
| Above 2.3% | YES | 90¢ | $1K |
All outcomes
8| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 2.1% | 98% | — | $4K | $4K |
| Above 2.3% | 98% | +39.0 | $8K | $5K |
| Above 2.4% | 80% | +36.0 | $7K | $6K |
| Above 2.5% | 74% | — | $8K | $4K |
| Above 2.6% | 67% | — | $8K | $5K |
| Above 2.7% | 60% | — | $8K | $3K |
| Above 2.8% | 37% | — | $4K | $3K |
| Above 2.9% | 21% | — | $5K | $2K |