EV commodity prices on Oct 6, 2026
50/50 line70%Above 1194.52
Line nearest 50/50
70%
Market median
1197.54
Biggest 24h move
—
24h volume
$43K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove 1134.52
100%
Above 1144.52
100%
Above 1114.52
99%
Above 1124.52
99%
Above 1154.52
99%
Above 1164.52
98%
Above 1174.52
98%
Above 1184.52
98%
Above 1194.52
70%
+ 1 more in the table below.
What the market expects
median 1197.54Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · hourlyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Above 1144.52YES $11K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $11K
- Above 1244.52YES $0 · NO $11K · 1 orders · biggest $11K
- Above 1134.52YES $8K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $7K
- Above 1174.52YES $3K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $3K
- Above 1254.52YES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- Above 1124.52YES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
- Above 1114.52YES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1174.52 | YES | 97¢ | $3K | |
| Above 1254.52 | NO | 99¢ | $2K | |
| Above 1244.52 | NO | 99¢ | $11K | |
| Above 1134.52 | YES | 99¢ | $7K | |
| Above 1144.52 | YES | 99¢ | $11K | |
| Above 1114.52 | YES | 99¢ | $1K | |
| Above 1134.52 | YES | 99¢ | $1K | |
| Above 1124.52 | YES | 99¢ | $1K |
All outcomes
15| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1134.52 | 100% | — | $8K | $7K |
| Above 1144.52 | 100% | — | $11K | $11K |
| Above 1114.52 | 99% | — | $2K | $2K |
| Above 1124.52 | 99% | — | $1K | $1K |
| Above 1154.52 | 99% | — | $705 | $705 |
| Above 1164.52 | 98% | — | $94 | $94 |
| Above 1174.52 | 98% | — | $3K | $3K |
| Above 1184.52 | 98% | — | $739 | $497 |
| Above 1194.52 | 70% | — | $947 | $552 |
| Above 1214.52 | 2% | — | $538 | $538 |
| Above 1204.52 | 2% | — | $447 | $450 |
| Above 1224.52 | 2% | — | $200 | $100 |
| Above 1234.52 | 1% | — | $94 | $94 |
| Above 1254.52 | 0% | — | $3K | $3K |
| Above 1244.52 | 0% | — | $11K | $11K |