What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 1204.52

Settles Oct 07, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: EV commodity prices on Oct 6, 2026

chance of YES2%

Price range (6h)

3–13%

24h volume

450

$1 contracts

Open interest

450

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 6h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.