K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 7, 2026?

9 outcomesSettles Oct 07, 2026 (0d)

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Theme
Preview
Favorite34%38.5%
Favorite
34%
38.5%
Runner-up
18%
38.6%
Biggest 24h move
—
odds steady over the last day
24h volume
$79K
$72K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

one winner
38.5% 34%
38.6% 18%
38.7% 14%
38.4% 13%
Above 38.7% 8%
38.3% 6%
Below 38.1% 2%
38.2% 2%
38.1% 2%

Odds over time

hourly

Hourly closing odds for the leading outcomes.

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • Below 38.1%
    YES $0 · NO $24K · 1 orders · biggest $24K
  • 38.1%
    YES $0 · NO $5K · 1 orders · biggest $5K
  • 38.2%
    YES $0 · NO $4K · 2 orders · biggest $2K
  • Above 38.7%
    YES $0 · NO $4K · 1 orders · biggest $4K
  • 38.3%
    YES $0 · NO $3K · 1 orders · biggest $3K
  • 38.4%
    YES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
  • 38.7%
    YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
38.1%NO 97¢$5K
38.2%NO 94¢$2K
38.3%NO 91¢$3K
38.4%NO 87¢$2K
Below 38.1%NO 98¢$24K
38.7%NO 90¢$1K
Above 38.7%NO 91¢$4K
38.2%NO 92¢$2K

All outcomes

9
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
38.5% 34% — $4K $3K
38.6% 18% — $5K $5K
38.7% 14% — $10K $9K
38.4% 13% — $9K $7K
Above 38.7% 8% — $11K $8K
38.3% 6% — $4K $4K
Below 38.1% 2% — $29K $25K
38.2% 2% — $7K $4K
38.1% 2% — $92 $5K