K KalshiPolitics & Elections

How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/4-10/10)

4 outcomesSettles Oct 11, 2026 (4d) Polls & election odds

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Theme
Preview
50/50 line2%At least 1
Line nearest 50/50
2%
At least 1
Market median
1
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move-7 pts
2%
At least 3
24h volume
$29K
$19K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
At least 1 2% -3
At least 3 2% -7
At least 10 2% -7
At least 5 2%

What the market expects

median 1

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

Odds over time

rungs nearest 50/50 · hourly

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • At least 1
    YES $0 · NO $6K · 2 orders · biggest $5K
  • At least 10
    YES $0 · NO $6K · 3 orders · biggest $3K
  • At least 3
    YES $0 · NO $4K · 1 orders · biggest $4K
  • At least 5
    YES $0 · NO $2K · 2 orders · biggest $1K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
At least 5NO 98¢$1K
At least 10NO 99¢$2K
At least 3NO 97¢$4K
At least 10NO 99¢$1K
At least 10NO 98¢$3K
At least 1NO 96¢$5K
At least 1NO 93¢$1K
At least 5NO 93¢$1K

All outcomes

4
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
At least 1 2% -3.0 $11K $8K
At least 3 2% -7.0 $7K $5K
At least 10 2% -7.0 $9K $4K
At least 5 2% — $1K $3K