Will there be at least 5 presidential nominations sent to the Senate in the week of Oct 4, 2026?
chance of YES2%
-1.0pp in 24h
Price range (35h)
2–7%
24h volume
1.4K
Open interest
2.7K
Large orders (14d)
$2K
Odds and volume
hourly, 35hLine: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 98¢ | 1,262 | $1K | |
| NO | 93¢ | 1,327 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.