TSA avg check-ins from Oct 5 to 11, 2026?
50/50 line40%Above 2.8 million
Line nearest 50/50
40%
Market median
2.528million
Biggest 24h move
—
24h volume
$2K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove 2 million
98%
Above 2.45 million
92%
-5
Above 2.5 million
72%
-14
Above 2.55 million
34%
+5
Above 2.6 million
11%
+1
+ 1 more in the table below.
What the market expects
median 2.528millionChance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · hourlyAll outcomes
15| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 2.05 million | 98% | — | $52 | $52 |
| Above 1.8 million | 98% | — | $50 | $50 |
| Above 1.85 million | 98% | — | $50 | $50 |
| Above 1.9 million | 98% | — | $50 | $50 |
| Above 1.95 million | 98% | — | $50 | $50 |
| Above 2 million | 98% | — | $50 | $50 |
| Above 2.1 million | 98% | — | $1 | $1 |
| Above 2.45 million | 92% | -5.0 | $30 | $143 |
| Above 2.5 million | 72% | -14.0 | $429 | $1K |
| Above 2.8 million | 40% | — | $50 | $50 |
| Above 2.7 million | 38% | — | $31 | $31 |
| Above 2.55 million | 34% | +5.0 | $363 | $2K |
| Above 2.6 million | 11% | +1.0 | $480 | $519 |
| Above 2.75 million | 5% | — | $50 | $50 |
| Above 2.65 million | 2% | — | $99 | $99 |