What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 12%, implying a 12% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 2.6 million

Settles Oct 12, 2026 (5d) All outcomes: TSA avg check-ins from Oct 5 to 11, 2026?

chance of YES12% -2.5pp in 24h

Price range (23h)

9–17%

24h volume

480

$1 contracts

Open interest

519

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 23h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.