What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 08, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 7.48%

Settles Oct 08, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: 30-year mortgage rate this week

chance of YES6% -6.5pp in 24h

Price range (5d)

3–16%

24h volume

$1 contracts

Open interest

709

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 5d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.