K KalshiEconomy & Fed

Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 8, 2026 be above 7.58%?

Above 7.58%
Settles Oct 08, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: 30-year mortgage rate this week

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chance of YES2% -4.5pp in 24h
Price range (5d)
2–7%
24h volume
2.2K
$1 contracts
Open interest
2.4K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$1K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

hourly, 5d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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Other outcomes in this event

Above 7.32%98%178
Above 7.30%98%101
Above 7.34%96%148
Above 7.36%88%1.8K
Above 7.38%68%251
Above 7.40%34%628
Above 7.42%8%140
Above 7.44%7%2

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO98¢ 1,205$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.