What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 53%, implying a 53% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Above 4.3200

Settles Oct 12, 2026 (5d) All outcomes: US gas prices this week Gas prices

chance of YES53% -8.0pp in 24h

Price range (30h)

49–83%

24h volume

5.7K

$1 contracts

Open interest

2.8K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 30h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.