US gas prices this week
50/50 line67%Above 4.3200
Line nearest 50/50
67%
Market median
4.329
Biggest 24h move-40 pts
14%
24h volume
$90K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove 4.2000
99%
Above 4.2200
99%
+1
Above 4.2400
99%
+4
Above 4.2600
98%
+12
Above 4.2800
98%
+14
Above 4.3000
88%
+16
Above 4.3200
67%
-6
Above 4.3400
30%
-24
Above 4.3600
14%
-40
Above 4.3800
10%
-36
Above 4.4000
6%
-34
Above 4.4200
4%
-8
Above 4.4600
1%
-3
Above 4.4800
1%
-1
+ 4 more in the table below.
What the market expects
median 4.329Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · hourlyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Above 4.2800YES $5K · NO $0 · 4 orders · biggest $2K
- Above 4.4400YES $0 · NO $5K · 1 orders · biggest $5K
- Above 4.2400YES $4K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $2K
- Above 4.2200YES $4K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $2K
- Above 4.4600YES $0 · NO $3K · 2 orders · biggest $2K
- Above 4.2000YES $3K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $2K
- Above 4.4800YES $0 · NO $3K · 1 orders · biggest $3K
- Above 4.1800YES $3K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $2K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4.2800 | YES | 96¢ | $1K | |
| Above 4.3000 | YES | 85¢ | $1K | |
| Above 4.2800 | YES | 83¢ | $1K | |
| Above 4.2800 | YES | 83¢ | $1K | |
| Above 4.4400 | NO | 99¢ | $5K | |
| Above 4.4600 | NO | 99¢ | $2K | |
| Above 4.4600 | NO | 97¢ | $1K | |
| Above 4.4800 | NO | 99¢ | $3K | |
| Above 4.2800 | YES | 98¢ | $2K | |
| Above 4.2600 | YES | 99¢ | $1K |
All outcomes
18| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4.2000 | 99% | — | $935 | $4K |
| Above 4.2200 | 99% | +1.0 | $4K | $6K |
| Above 4.2400 | 99% | +4.0 | $5K | $5K |
| Above 4.2600 | 98% | +11.5 | $6K | $5K |
| Above 4.2800 | 98% | +13.5 | $14K | $6K |
| Above 4.3000 | 88% | +16.5 | $5K | $3K |
| Above 4.3200 | 67% | -6.0 | $6K | $3K |
| Above 4.3400 | 30% | -24.5 | $7K | $2K |
| Above 4.3600 | 14% | -39.5 | $10K | $4K |
| Above 4.3800 | 10% | -36.0 | $8K | $3K |
| Above 4.4000 | 6% | -33.5 | $7K | $4K |
| Above 4.4200 | 4% | -8.0 | $1K | $2K |
| Above 4.4600 | 1% | -3.0 | $4K | $4K |
| Above 4.4800 | 1% | -1.0 | $5K | $4K |
| Above 4.4400 | 1% | -6.0 | $7K | $7K |
| Above 4.5200 | 1% | — | $93 | $3K |
| Above 4.5600 | 0% | — | $1 | $2K |
| Above 4.5000 | 0% | — | $1K | $2K |