kalshi
Politics
Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Aug 1, 2026?
Before Aug 1, 2026
50%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 67% ·
Low 0%
· 7d -83.3pp
· 30d -98.9pp
Other outcomes in this event
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AI analysis
The prediction market is currently indicating a 0% probability that a crypto market structure bill will become law before August 1, 2026. This assessment is based on the current state of political affairs and the lack of significant progress towards passing such legislation. The market's neutral stance suggests that there are no clear indicators or momentum driving the price up or down at this time. Any developments in the legislative process, such as committee hearings or votes, could potentially impact the price, with a positive outcome (e.g., passage) likely to drive the YES price upward and a negative outcome (e.g., failure to pass) pushing it downward.
Generated Jul 28, 2026
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.