What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Dec 1, 2026

Closes Dec 01, 2026 (76d) 24h volume 52.0K Open interest 187.4K Event Will the Clarity Act become law?

4%

implied YES probability

-11.5pp 24h

Last 62 days · High 49% · Low 4% · 7d -66.7pp · 30d -79.0pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 3.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.