What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 14%, implying a 14% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Oct 1, 2026

Closes Oct 01, 2026 (60d) 24h volume 2.0K Open interest 40.0K Event Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

14%

implied YES probability

-1.5pp 24h

Last 18 days · High 46% · Low 16% · 7d -27.3pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 18.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.