What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 38%, implying a 38% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Mar 31, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

Above 830 thousand

Closes Mar 31, 2028 (561d) 24h volume 10 Open interest 242 Event Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in 2026

38%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 8 days · High 56% · Low 41% · 7d -23.2pp

CVNA Carvana Co.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.