What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 3%, implying a 3% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Mar 31, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

Above 910 thousand

Closes Mar 31, 2028 (561d) 24h volume 205 Open interest 939 Event Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in 2026

implied YES probability

-8.0pp 24h

Last 6 days · High 13% · Low 5%

CVNA Carvana Co.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.