What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 30%, implying a 30% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Mar 31, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

Above 840 thousand

Closes Mar 31, 2028 (561d) 24h volume 215 Open interest 1.1K Event Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in 2026

30%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 11 days · High 77% · Low 20% · 7d +41.7pp

CVNA Carvana Co.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.