What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Julia Stiles

Settles Oct 07, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: Dancing with the Stars · Episode 5 Elimination

chance of YES4% -1.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

4–10%

24h volume

7.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

11.0K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$1K

0% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 4, 11:40 AM ET	NO	95¢	1,228	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.