What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 28%, implying a 28% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Tyler Cameron

Settles Oct 07, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: Dancing with the Stars · Episode 5 Elimination

chance of YES28%

Price range (120d)

26–31%

24h volume

15.4K

$1 contracts

Open interest

24.7K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.