What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Tatyana Ali

Settles Oct 07, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: Dancing with the Stars · Episode 5 Elimination

chance of YES8% +0.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

8–18%

24h volume

10.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

13.9K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$1K

0% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Sep 30, 8:46 PM ET	NO	89¢	1,150	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.