What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 86%, implying a 86% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 3.50%

Closes Jan 01, 2028 (469d) 24h volume 224 Open interest 3.5K Event Fed funds rate at end of 2027

86%

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Last 31 days · High 89% · Low 32% · 7d +30.9pp · 30d +178.1pp

TGT Target Corporation

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.