What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 81%, implying a 81% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 3.75%

Closes Jan 01, 2028 (469d) 24h volume 765 Open interest 4.6K Event Fed funds rate at end of 2027

81%

implied YES probability

Last 41 days · High 82% · Low 35% · 7d +22.4pp · 30d +41.4pp

TGT Target Corporation

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.