What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

93° to 94°

Settles Oct 07, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 6, 2026?

chance of YES16% +11.5pp in 24h

Price range (30h)

5–47%

24h volume

4.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

2.6K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 30h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.