What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 80%, implying a 80% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

95° to 96°

Settles Oct 07, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: Highest temperature in Las Vegas on Oct 6, 2026?

chance of YES80% +11.5pp in 24h

Price range (30h)

50–75%

24h volume

2.9K

$1 contracts

Open interest

2.4K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 30h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.