What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 60%, implying a 60% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

81° to 82°

Settles Oct 07, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 6, 2026?

chance of YES60% +35.0pp in 24h

Price range (30h)

19–83%

24h volume

7.1K

$1 contracts

Open interest

4.8K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 30h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.