What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 32%, implying a 32% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

83° to 84°

Settles Oct 07, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 6, 2026?

chance of YES32% +30.5pp in 24h

Price range (30h)

1–26%

24h volume

12.3K

$1 contracts

Open interest

5.5K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 30h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.