K KalshiEconomy & Fed

How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Oct 3, 2026?

At least 195,000
Settles Oct 08, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 3, 2026 Fed Watch — inflation & jobs data

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chance of YES86% -10.0pp in 24h
Price range (18h)
94–96%
24h volume
11
$1 contracts
Open interest
272
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

hourly, 18h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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Other outcomes in this event

At least 180,00098%150
At least 190,00088%1
At least 200,00055%90
At least 225,00050%560
At least 205,00034%25
At least 220,00032%500
At least 215,00023%1.0K
At least 210,00010%816