Will it rain in New Orleans on Oct 6, 2026?

New Orleans
Settles Oct 07, 2026 (0d) All outcomes: Where will it rain on Oct 6, 2026?

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Theme
Preview
chance of YES2% -5.5pp in 24h
Price range (34h)
7–21%
24h volume
60.6K
$1 contracts
Open interest
30.3K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
2¢ / 3¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

hourly, 34h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
2.0¢ 644 3.0¢ 5
1.0¢ 3,130 4.0¢ 467
5.0¢ 312
6.0¢ 467
7.0¢ 300

Mid 2.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Miami29%112.1K
Denver1%15.9K
Dallas1%1.6K
Milwaukee1%6.2K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO89¢ 1,386$1K
NO86¢ 1,301$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.