What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Austin

Settles Oct 12, 2026 (5d) All outcomes: Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 10 - Oct 11)?

chance of YES8%

Price range (17h)

9–40%

24h volume

138

$1 contracts

Open interest

136

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 17h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.