What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 11%, implying a 11% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Elon Musk

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (197d) 24h volume 46 Open interest 7.5K Event #1 searched person on Google in 2026

11%

implied YES probability

Last 41 days · High 14% · Low 5% · 7d +30.0pp · 30d +44.4pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.