What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Erling Haaland

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (106d) 24h volume 4.6K Open interest 35.6K Event #1 searched person on Google in 2026

18%

implied YES probability

-5.0pp 24h

Last 61 days · High 35% · Low 4% · 7d -20.0pp · 30d +66.7pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.