What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Donald Trump

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (197d) 24h volume 2.9K Open interest 94.5K Event #1 searched person on Google in 2026

18%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 91 days · High 26% · Low 6% · 7d -10.5pp · 30d +21.4pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 16.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.