Will Donald Trump make between 200 and 219 Truth Social posts the week of Oct 4, 2026?

200-219
Settles Oct 11, 2026 (4d) All outcomes: Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)

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chance of YES12% +0.5pp in 24h
Price range (2d)
7–13%
24h volume
1.0K
$1 contracts
Open interest
2.3K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

hourly, 2d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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Other outcomes in this event

160-17922%1.1K
140-15920%2.2K
180-19918%594
120-13914%1.1K
100-1198%1.2K
220-2406%845
>2406%1.8K
80-992%814