K KalshiPolitics & Elections

Will Donald Trump make above 240 Truth Social posts the week of Oct 4, 2026?

>240
Settles Oct 11, 2026 (4d) All outcomes: Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)

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chance of YES6%
Price range (47h)
6–8%
24h volume
1.8K
$1 contracts
Open interest
4.4K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$1K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

hourly, 47h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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Other outcomes in this event

160-17922%1.1K
140-15920%2.2K
180-19918%594
120-13914%1.1K
200-21912%1.0K
100-1198%1.2K
220-2406%845
80-992%814

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO95¢ 1,222$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.