K KalshiMarkets & Companies

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.30% on Oct 9, 2026?

5.31% or above
Settles Oct 09, 2026 (2d) All outcomes: 10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 9, 2026?

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Preview
chance of YES42% -10.5pp in 24h
Price range (24h)
24–53%
24h volume
3
$1 contracts
Open interest
729
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

hourly, 24h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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Other outcomes in this event

5.11% or above94%20
5.13% or above92%10
5.15% or above85%100
5.19% or above84%551
5.17% or above82%66
5.21% or above79%278
5.23% or above78%100
5.25% or above76%206