Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.36% on Oct 9, 2026?

5.37% or above
Settles Oct 09, 2026 (2d) All outcomes: 10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 9, 2026?

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chance of YES19% -3.0pp in 24h
Price range (3d)
11–22%
24h volume
114
$1 contracts
Open interest
366
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

hourly, 3d

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

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